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Speaking against a backdrop of record-high gold and silver prices, Fabi Lara, creator of the Next Big Rush, delivered a timely reality check at this year’s Vancouver Resource Investment Conference.

Addressing a packed room that included a noticeable influx of first-time attendees, she urged investors to balance excitement with discipline as the commodities bull market accelerates.

Lara framed her talk around advice she would give her daughter based on hard-earned lessons from more than a decade in the resource sector, including surviving long stretches of disappointment before a surge.

“What we’re going through this year is not normal,” she said. “We’re not usually this fat and happy and joyful. This is completely outside of what the last number of years have been.”

Lara, often dubbed the “uranium girl” for her early conviction in the sector’s 2021 to 2022 rally, drew parallels between uranium’s past run and current moves in the gold and silver market.

Prices, she warned, are rising so fast that even seasoned investors are uneasy.

“The price is moving too quickly,” she said, noting that her presentation charts were outdated almost as soon as they were prepared. “That’s how quickly this market is moving.”

During the conference, which ran from January 25 to 26, gold breached US$5,000 per ounce, while silver reached triple digits, continuing on even higher as the week continued. Ultimately, those high levels proved as unsustainable as Lara anticipated — by Monday (February 2) gold was sitting in the US$4,600 range, while silver was at US$79.

What stage is the market in?

While some investors see parabolic prices as a signal to exit entirely, Lara cautioned against all-or-nothing thinking. Instead, she emphasized understanding where the market sits within the broader arc of a bull cycle.

Referencing Doug Casey’s framework, she outlined three phases: the stealth stage, the wall of worry and the mania.

In her view, today’s market sits uncomfortably between the latter two.

“Some people think we’re already in mania because of the price,” Lara said. “I don’t think we’re quite there yet.”

She pointed to lagging indicators, including subdued valuations across the TSX Venture Exchange and conservative assumptions in mining feasibility studies, as signs that the cycle still has room to run.

That said, Lara acknowledged the risks of complacency.

She recounted stories of investors who rode bull markets too long, only to find “no bids” when they tried to exit. Her solution: gradual repositioning. “Don’t wait too long,” she said. “Start to leave your positions slowly.”

For her own portfolio — and hypothetically, for her daughter’s — Lara favors selling in thirds rather than making dramatic moves. Trimming positions can relieve pressure without sacrificing exposure to further upside. Fully exiting, she warned, risks missing the very payoff investors have waited years to see.

Equally important is what happens after selling. Holding large amounts of cash, Lara admitted, doesn’t suit every personality, especially active speculators.

To impose discipline, she has redirected some profits into dividend-paying oil stocks held in a separate account. “You get paid to wait,” she said, calling oil historically cheap by multiple measures.

Beyond precious metals, Lara highlighted emerging areas of interest among veteran investors.

Copper is getting increasing attention, and will likely receive more if prices stay stable. Nickel remains overlooked, while oil continues to offer a combination of value and income that contrasts sharply with the volatility of junior miners.

Ultimately, Lara framed successful investing as a psychological exercise as much as an analytical one.

“Doing this well is a result of greed and fear,” she said. “In a bear market, you need to be greedy. In a bull market, you need to be somewhat fearful.”

Her closing message for newcomers and longtime investors: participate, but don’t lose perspective. Bull markets reward patience and punish excess.

“We’re all salespeople, including me,” Lara reminded the audience. “So don’t believe everything you hear.”

Securities Disclosure: I, Georgia Williams, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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SpaceX on Monday acquired xAI, the artificial intelligence startup that also owns the X social media platform, in a deal combining two companies owned by Elon Musk.

Musk in a news release said that the combination would aim to pursue AI data centers in outer space.

The deal comes on the verge of SpaceX’s highly anticipated initial public offering, which is expected to occur later this year.

The deal creates ‘the most ambitious, vertically-integrated innovation engine on (and off) Earth, with AI, rockets, space-based internet, direct-to-mobile device communications and the world’s foremost real-time information and free speech platform,’ Musk said in a statement.

The combined company will become the world’s most valuable private company, worth more than $1.2 trillion, Bloomberg News reported. NBC News has not been able to verify the valuation, and the companies did not respond to requests for comment.

Musk went on to say that space would be a crucial avenue for building advanced artificial intelligence.

‘In the long term, space-based AI is obviously the only way to scale,’ Musk wrote. ‘The only logical solution therefore is to transport these resource-intensive efforts to a location with vast power and space.’

Musk also offered an ambitious timeline for starting to develop AI from space. He’s failed to meet many of the previous goals he set for his companies.

“My estimate is that within 2 to 3 years, the lowest cost way to generate AI compute will be in space,” he wrote in Monday’s news release.

SpaceX already conducts rocket tests using reusable parts, provides cellular phone and data services to T-Mobile customers, and is working with NASA to return humans to the moon in the near future.

Meanwhile, xAI, Musk’s bid to get in on the AI boom, has reportedly soared to a more than $200 billion valuation. Along the way, the company and its AI bot, Grok, have drawn criticism. Recently, the company limited its image generation technology after users said it was creating sexualized deepfakes. A number of state attorneys general and the European Union are investigating the company.

Musk’s companies have often been intertwined, but Monday’s deal brings them even closer together. Another one of Musk’s companies, Tesla, has invested in xAI and uses some of its technology.

Musk merged his social media site X with xAI in early 2025, but the tie-up between xAI and SpaceX marks the largest combination to date of Musk’s vast business projects.

Founded in 2002, SpaceX has helped catapult Musk to the ranking of richest person in the world, with a net worth of more than $670 billion. The company has quickly become a critical supplier of satellite-based internet around the world, with more than 9,000 satellites orbiting Earth, used by both consumers and governments. SpaceX also holds multiple NASA contracts.

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While directly holding cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum is a popular option, investors looking for alternatives are clamoring for financial products such as crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Canada first launched Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in 2021. These Canadian Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs allow investors to place returns in tax-sheltered accounts like tax-free savings accounts or registered retirement savings plans.

“There is a high demand for a Bitcoin product that has all the features that people love about ETFs — that they trade on an exchange, that they’re liquid,” Ross Mayfield of Robert W. Baird & Co. told Bloomberg in mid-2021.

Interest has only increased since then. In the US, Bitcoin ETFs’ net assets surpassed US$100 billion in November 2024, gaining ground on US gold ETFs. Sean Farrell, head of digital asset strategy at Fundstrat, wrote in mid-2023 that the Bitcoin ETF category at large has the potential to surpass the precious metals ETF market in terms of asset value.

‘Bitcoin ETF eventually could become >$300 billion category,’ he said in the note.

Ethereum ETFs have also become a major talking point. Ethereum is the most widely used blockchain technology, and Ether, the digital currency of this platform, is the second largest cryptocurrency after Bitcoin.

In Q2 2025, Canadian ETF firms launched North America’s first Solana and XRP spot ETFs, offering investors exposure to the significant altcoins. The launch of XRP ETFs by Canadian firms comes amid increased clarity regarding XRP’s regulatory status in the US.

With that in mind, investors should take a look at the currently available Canadian cryptocurrency ETFs.

The list below includes the biggest 15 crypto ETFs available on the Canadian market, sorted by assets under management, and all data presented was current as of January 15, 2026.

1. Purpose Bitcoin ETF (TSX:BTCC)

Assets under management: C$2.7 billion

The Purpose Bitcoin ETF, launched in February 2021, is billed as the world’s first physically settled Bitcoin ETF. It is backed by Bitcoin in cold storage, meaning the fund allows investors to add and sell Bitcoin with no digital wallet required.

Hosted by Canadian investment company Purpose Investments, the Purpose Bitcoin ETF has a management expense ratio of 1.5 percent.

2. Fidelity Advantage Bitcoin ETF (TSX:FBTC)

Assets under management: C$1.48 billion

The Fidelity Advantage Bitcoin ETF launched in November 2021. It offers the security of Fidelity’s in-house cold storage services for its holdings.

While it previously had a management fee of 0.39 percent, the Fidelity Advantage Bitcoin ETF lowered it in January 2025 to an ultra-low management fee of 0.32 percent.

3. CI Galaxy Bitcoin ETF (TSX:BTCX.B)

Assets under management: C$1.13 billion

Launched in March 2021, the CI Galaxy Bitcoin ETF was born out of a partnership between cryptocurrency leaders Galaxy Fund Management and CI Global Asset Management. Galaxy Fund Management is part of Galaxy Digital, a diversified financial services firm with a focus on digital assets and the blockchain technology sector.

The ETF’s objective is to give investors exposure to Bitcoin via an institutional-quality fund platform, as its holdings are wholly Bitcoin and are kept in cold storage. At 0.4 percent, this fund is one of the lowest management fees of the crypto funds on the market.

4. CI Galaxy Ethereum ETF (TSX:ETHX.U)

Assets under management: C$574.97 million

The CI Galaxy Ethereum ETF, another collaboration between CI and Galaxy, offers investors exposure to the spot Ethereum price through Ether holdings in cold storage. The fund launched on April 20, 2021, the same day as two of the other Ether ETFs on this list.

The CI Galaxy Ethereum ETF has a low management fee of just 0.4 percent.

5. Purpose Ether ETF (TSX:ETHH)

Assets under management: C$390.8 million

The Purpose Ether ETF is a direct-custody Ether ETF that launched on April 20, 2021. This fund currently holds over 83,000 Ether, which it stores in cold storage.

The Purpose Ether ETF offers investors exposure to the daily price movements of physically settled Ether tokens with a management fee of 1 percent.

6. Evolve Bitcoin ETF (TSX:EBIT)

Assets under management: C$270.39 million

Evolve ETFs partnered with cryptocurrency experts, including Gemini Trust Company, CF Benchmarks, Cidel Bank & Trust and CIBC Mellon Global Services, to launch the Evolve Bitcoin ETF.

Launched a week after the Purpose Bitcoin ETF, its holdings of Bitcoin are priced based on the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate, a once-a-day benchmark index price for Bitcoin denominated in US dollars. The fund, which holds its own Bitcoin, has a management fee of 0.75 percent.

7. 3iQ Solana Staking ETF (TSX:SOLQ)

Assets under management: C$263.2 million

The 3iQ Solana Staking ETF is designed to provide investors with a user-friendly and secure way to gain exposure to SOL and earn passive rewards through staking. Its launch quickly garnered significant assets under management and attracted investments from SkyBridge Capital and two of ARK Invest’s ETFs.

For the first 12 months after its April 16, 2025, launch, the ETF features a 0 percent management fee. After this initial period, the management fee will be 0.15 percent, the lowest on this crypto ETF list by far.

8. 3iQ XRP ETF (TSX:XRPQ)

Assets under management: C$162.67 million

The 3iQ XRP ETF provides investors with exposure to XRP, the digital asset native to the XRP Ledger. The ETF, which launched on June 17, 2025, is passively managed and aims to track the performance of the CME CF XRP-Dollar Reference Rate. The underlying XRP is held in secure cold storage.

The fund’s primary objectives are to give unitholders an opportunity for long-term capital appreciation through exposure to XRP and its daily price movements against the US dollar.

This XRP ETF had a 0 percent management fee for its first six months after its June 17 launch, after which time the company stated it would change to to 0.59 percent.

9. Purpose Bitcoin Yield ETF (TSX:BTCY)

Assets under management: C$145.5 million

The Purpose Bitcoin Yield ETF uses a covered call strategy to generate yield for investors. Its distributions are paid monthly and it has a management fee of 1.1 percent.

A covered call strategy involves writing call options on Bitcoin, which give the buyer an option to purchase an asset at a specific price on or before a specific date. Its structure allows the fund to earn income from option premiums while providing investors with exposure to Bitcoin’s price movements.

10. Purpose XRP ETF (TSX:XRPP)

Assets under management: C$122.5 million

The Purpose XRP ETF started trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange on June 18, 2025, as part of the launch of Canada’s first XRP ETFs. The fund invests directly in XRP, offering investors access to the XRP spot price.

The new asset is offering a 0 percent management fee through February 2026, after which time it will have a management fee of 0.69 percent.

11. Evolve Cryptocurrencies ETF (TSX:ETC)

Assets under management: C$93.9 million

The Evolve Cryptocurrencies ETF launched in September 2021 as the first multi-cryptocurrency ETF, providing combined exposure to both Bitcoin and Ether. Its holdings have since expanded to include XRP and Solana.

This product from Evolve ETFs allows investors to diversify their crypto portfolios and provides indirect exposure to the four coins by holding the individual Evolve ETFs dedicated to each coin.

Its holdings are weighed market capitalization and rebalanced on a monthly basis. Bitcoin makes up the vast majority of its portfolio at over 75 percent.

While this ETF has no management fee, the underlying funds that hold Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP funds have management fees of 0.75 percent, while the Solana ETF has a management fee of 1 percent.

12. Fidelity Advantage Ether ETF (TSX:FETH)

Assets under management: C$90.5 million

Following the successful launch of its Bitcoin fund, Fidelity brought its Advantage Ether ETF to market in September 2022, making this the newest Ether ETF in Canada. Its holdings are stored in Fidelity’s in-house cold storage.

The Fidelity Advantage Ether ETF has a low management fee of 0.4 percent.

13. Evolve Ether ETF (TSX:ETHR)

Assets under management: C$87.74 million

The Evolve Ether ETF offers investors an easier route to investing in Ether. The fund’s holdings of Ether are priced based on the CME CF Ether-Dollar Reference Rate, a once-a-day benchmark index price for Ether denominated in US dollars.

It entered the market in April 2021. As with the Evolve Bitcoin ETF, the Evolve Ether ETF has a management fee of 0.75 percent.

14. Purpose Ether Yield ETF (TSX:ETHY)

Assets under management: C$81.2 million

Like the Purpose Bitcoin Yield ETF, the Purpose Ether Yield ETF offers investors an opportunity to invest in Ether while also generating yield. Purpose Investments lends a portion of its Ether holdings to institutional borrowers and earns interest on those loans.

Investors who purchase shares of this ETF receive a portion of the interest earned in monthly distributions. This Ether ETF launched in November 2021 and has a management fee of 1.1 percent.

15. Purpose Solana ETF (TSX:SOLL)

Assets under management: C$70.3 million

The Purpose Solana ETF gives investors exposure to the price of the Solana cryptocurrency. Its purpose is to provide a regulated and convenient way for investors to participate in the Solana market without the complexities of directly buying and storing the digital asset.

A key feature of this specific ETF is that it was one of the world’s first with staking built right in. It has a low management fee of 0.39 percent.

Securities Disclosure: I, Meagen Seatter, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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Mining major BHP (ASX:BHP,NYSE:BHP,LSE:BHP) has named the early stage explorers selected for its 2026 Xplor program, expanding the intake to a record 10 companies.

According to a Monday (February 2) press release, the latest cohort is the largest since the initiative launched in 2023, surpassing the previous high of eight participants announced last year.

Making up the list are exploration companies FrontierX from Canada, Litchfield Minerals (ASX:LMS) from Australia, Orion Minerals (ASX:ORN) from South Africa, Otrera Resources from South America and PT GeoFix from Indonesia.

The majority of the exploration companies have a copper focus, underlining growing global demand for the metal.

The cohort also includes the Utah Geological Survey in the US, which is Utah’s primary source of geologic data to support the industry, the government and the community. Technology companies that made the cut are RadiXplore from Australia, Mineural from Canada, VectOres Science from the US and Discovery Genomics from Canada.

RadiXplore and Mineural are maximizing artificial intelligence applications in the mining sector, while VectOres is applying its water and isotope chemistry platform to test mining data.

Discovery Genomics, which is based in Vancouver, is developing DNA sequencing as a new tool for mineral exploration.

“The 2026 cohort reflects how broad and dynamic early-stage discovery has become,” said BHP Xplor Head Marley Palin, adding that the program creates a uniquely collaborative environment. “We’re seeing exciting ideas emerge across exploration, data, and technology, often at the same time and in the same places.”

All winning companies will be granted equity-free funding of US$500,000 and structured learning, mentoring and access to BHP specialists for their exploration, technology and commercial processes.

“Exploration is evolving quickly. New tools, better data, and different ways of working are changing how early-stage ideas are tested and refined,” said BHP Group Exploration Officer Tim O’ Connor. “This cohort reflects that shift, bringing together explorers and technology developers who are approaching discovery in thoughtful and practical ways.”

Exploration companies selected by BHP in previous Xplor editions include Cobre (ASX:CBE), Hamelin Gold (ASX:HMG) and Viridian Metals (CSE:VRDN,OTCGM:VIRMF).

Applications for Xplor 2026 opened in October 2025. The new round brings the total number of companies assisted by the BHP Xplor program from 21 to 31.

Securities Disclosure: I, Gabrielle de la Cruz, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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Nine Mile Metals (CSE:NINE,OTCQB:VMSXF,FSE:KQ9) is a Canadian critical minerals explorer focused on discovering and advancing copper-dominant sulphide systems in New Brunswick’s Bathurst Mining Camp. Copper is a cornerstone metal for electrification, renewable energy systems, and global industrial supply chains, and the Bathurst camp ranks among the world’s most productive districts for copper-rich volcanogenic massive sulphide (VMS) deposits.

The Bathurst Mining Camp is widely regarded as the third-largest mining camp in the world and has supported several world-class base-metal mines, most notably the Brunswick No. 12 operation, which stands as a benchmark for scale, grade, and mine life within VMS-hosted critical mineral systems.

Visible massive copper mineralization

Nine Mile Metals is developing a diversified asset portfolio that includes the historic copper-producing Wedge Mine, a high-grade copper discovery at Nine Mile Brook with bulk sampling approval secured, and two district-scale exploration properties—California Lake and Canoe Landing Lake—located along highly prospective geological corridors. Although the mineralization is VMS-hosted, the company’s strategy is firmly centered on advancing high-grade copper and associated critical minerals within a stable and proven Canadian mining jurisdiction.

Company Highlights

  • Focused on advancing critical minerals projects, with a primary emphasis on copper, across four high-priority assets in New Brunswick’s world-renowned Bathurst Mining Camp: the Wedge, Nine Mile Brook, California Lake, and Canoe Landing Lake. The company’s projects are hosted within copper-rich volcanogenic massive sulphide (VMS) systems, a globally proven source of critical metals.
  • Controls a large, contiguous 136.34 square kilometre land package across 624 claims in one of the world’s most prolific base- and critical-minerals districts, offering district-scale exploration and development optionality within a stable, mining-friendly jurisdiction.
  • Nine Mile Brook represents a standout high-grade copper discovery, hosting the highest-grade certified copper drill results reported in the Bathurst Mining Camp to date, supported by multiple polymetallic lenses containing copper, zinc, lead, silver and gold—metals increasingly relevant to modern industrial and energy-transition supply chains.
  • The Wedge Project is a historic copper-producing mine, previously operated by Cominco, with documented production and a historical resource estimate. Modern exploration has confirmed the presence of copper-dominant massive sulphide mineralization and demonstrated that the system remains open for expansion along strike and at depth.
  • Employs modern exploration technologies—including advanced geophysics, three-dimensional geological modelling, UAV-based magnetic surveys, and AI-assisted targeting—to efficiently identify and prioritize concealed critical-mineral-bearing sulphide systems across the portfolio.
  • Received regulatory approval for a 1,000-tonne bulk sample program at Nine Mile Brook, advancing the project beyond early-stage exploration and providing a pathway to evaluate concentrate quality, metallurgical performance, and potential development scenarios for copper and associated critical minerals.

This Nine Mile Metals profile is part of a paid investor education campaign.*

Click here to connect with Nine Mile Metals (CSE:NINE) to receive an Investor Presentation

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Rick Rule, proprietor at Rule Investment Media, is positioning in the oil and gas sector, but thinks a bull market is two or two and a half years away.

In his view, copper is likely to be the next commodity to begin a bull run.

Click here to register for the Rule Symposium.

Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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Jacques Bonneau, veteran geologist and author of ‘The Art of Investing in Junior Mining,’ shares his system for evaluating juniors, as well as seven companies he likes right now.

Among other factors, he discusses his six golden rules for investing in junior mining stocks.

Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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Questcorp Mining Inc. (CSE: QQQ,OTC:QQCMF) (OTCQB: QQCMF) (FSE: D910) (the ‘Company’ or ‘Questcorp’) has chosen Peter W. Walcott and Associates Limited of Coquitlam, BC to undertake the permitted 10 to 15 line km induced polarization (IP) survey at the Company’s 1,168 hectare North Island Copper project near Port Hardy on Vancouver Island, British Columbia.

The IP survey will concentrate on the historic Marisa Zone, a porphyry copper target last explored in the 1990’s. Surface sampling and a preliminary 12.3-line km IP survey identified an interesting chargeability anomaly that was followed up by a five-hole, 376.43 diamond drilling program. Two of the five holes hit interesting copper values including down hole intervals of 0.078% copper over 56.39 metres in DDH92-01 and 0.041% copper over 70.71 metres in DDH92-03 in an altered quartz diorite. Copper grades were increasing with depth in DDH92-03. The Company plans to follow up these historic results. Source: Geophysical and Diamond Drilling Report on the Marisa Property by G.J. Allen and P.G. Dasler dated 1992-Feb-29 for Great Western Gold Corporation.

‘As copper prices continue to climb due to demand and supply issues, the importance of the North Island Copper project increases,’ commented Questcorp President & CEO, Saf Dhillon. ‘We feel the 1992 preliminary drill results demand further exploration, especially with copper grades increasing with depth to the bottom of one of the historic drill holes. Our setting in the right rocks between the historic Island Copper Mine and NorthIsle Copper and Gold Inc. (CSE: NCX), further attests to the potential of Questcorp’s North Island Copper project.’

The 2026 IP survey will run lines at the same azimuth, spaced midway between the 1973 IP survey lines to tighten the coverage over the area. Walcott hopes to incorporate the historic IP with the 2026 data to generate new chargeability and resistivity subsurface elevation plans, along with the 2026 psuedosection lines. The plans and sections will be utilized to generate drill targets for a follow-up drill program. Walcott is expected to mobilize to the property mid-February, with completion anticipated prior to month end.

Questcorp cautions investors a Qualified Person has not verified the historical exploration data and further cautions the presence of copper mineralization on the NorthIsle Copper and Gold and the BHP properties is not necessarily indicative of similar mineralization on the North Island Copper property.

The technical content of this news release has been reviewed and approved by R. Tim Henneberry, P. Geo (BC), a Director of the Company and a Qualified Person under National Instrument 43-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects.

About Questcorp Mining Inc.

Questcorp is engaged in the business of the acquisition and exploration of mineral properties in North America, with the objective of locating and developing economic precious and base metal properties of merit. The Company holds an option to acquire an undivided 100-per-cent interest in and to mineral claims totalling 1,168.09 hectares comprising the North Island Copper property, on Vancouver Island, B.C., subject to a royalty obligation. The Company also holds an option to acquire an undivided 100-per-cent interest in and to mineral claims totalling 2,520.2 hectares comprising the La Union project located in Sonora, Mexico, subject to a royalty obligation.

Contact Information

Questcorp Mining Corp.
Saf Dhillon, President & CEO
Email: saf@questcorpmining.ca
Telephone: (604) 484-3031

This news release includes certain ‘forward-looking statements’ under applicable Canadian securities legislation. Forward-looking statements are necessarily based upon a number of estimates and assumptions that, while considered reasonable, are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors which may cause the actual results and future events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such factors include, but are not limited to: general business, economic, competitive, political and social uncertainties, uncertain capital markets; and delay or failure to receive board or regulatory approvals. There can be no assurance that the geophysical surveys will be completed as contemplated or at all and that such statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. The Company disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/282479

News Provided by TMX Newsfile via QuoteMedia

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The silver price remains historically high despite a recent pullback, and many silver stocks haven’t kept pace.

Silver’s strong performance over the past year is the result of a perfect storm of factors, including an entrenched supply deficit, growing industrial demand, a weakening US dollar and deepening geopolitical and economic uncertainty.

For these reasons, investors are flocking to silver for both its safe-haven status and its developing role as a critical metal in energy, artificial intelligence and defense technologies.

As of early February, the silver price was trading in a range of US$70 to US$80 per ounce, while the Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF (ARCA:SILJ) was trading between about US$31 to US$32 per share.

SILJ tracks small-cap and mid-cap producers, developers and explorers that derive most of their revenue from silver. The profit margins of this segment of the silver-mining industry are the most sensitive to rising silver prices, hence SILJ tends to outperform the price of physical silver during bull markets.

Why is there a lag between the silver price and silver stocks?

During a presentation at the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference (VRIC), held from January 25 to 26, Peter Krauth, editor of Silver Stock Investor and Silver Advisor, looked at the performance of silver stocks relative to the price of physical silver, honing in on the silver-mining exchange-traded funds.

‘So we actually have had negative leverage in silver stocks versus silver. If you look back over one year, two years, we’re essentially even. You’ve gotten no reward for taking on additional risk by being in the silver stocks.’

Why are silver stocks, particularly those on the SILJ, lagging behind the performance of the physical metal?

Krauth explained that valuation models for these stocks are still factoring in silver prices at US$25 to US$30, even though last quarter the price was averaging around US$70 per ounce. “They essentially almost all need to be revalued because silver is so much higher, and that hasn’t happened yet,” he said.

“I think they’re going to have to redo their calculations for gold and silver miners.”

“That caps their earnings. Well, the good news for speculators, investors and mining stocks is that those hedges expire,” said Penny, who believes that the relative outperformance of the silver stocks to the silver price will “kick in soon.’

When will silver stocks catch up to the silver price?

Penny is looking for those hedges to expire over the first few quarters of the year.

“Then that’s where these mining stocks, the profits are just going to go through the roof. I mean, even if we pull back to the mid US$60s — not expecting that — but even if that were to happen, these mining stocks are not pricing in US$60 silver. They’re still pricing in sub-US$50 silver. So a lot of upside potential here for the mining stocks,” he said.

Barton is also looking for a move sooner rather than later, especially with earning calls coming up.

“I think we have a catch-up trade coming. I think it’s coming soon. So if no one has taken advantage of this yet, I think you need to act like now,” said Barton, who later added, “Assuming the silver price could stay above, you know, US$75 an ounce or so, that should blow out expectations. And I think it’ll be a really nice trade. I really do.”

But that won’t be the end of the party for silver. Krauth sees strong potential over the next two or three years for a “dramatic run” for the silver sector. And like his peers, he sees that run starting soon.

“I think what we’re going to see is over the next few quarters, as those projects, producers, cashflows, get revalued at higher input prices, we’re going to see the profit margins really explode and expand,” he said. “We’re going to see when those numbers get reported, the market is going to start to appreciate that and start to re-rate a lot of these stocks.”

Rick’s rules for silver sector profits

Rick Rule, investment guru and proprietor at Rule Investment Media, is already making plays in this latest silver bull market, leveraging the profits he’s made in physical silver to better position himself for the next stage.

“My reasoning being as follows: if silver goes nowhere for a year, if it stays rangebound, the best silver producers are discounting US$45 silver a year from now, if the price is at US$75 or US$80 they’ll be discounting US$75 or US$80 silver, which means the stock will be up 50, 60, 70 percent,” he explained.

“The speculative outlook for the silver stocks seemed to be better than the speculative outcome for silver. If silver stays flat for a year, by definition, silver won’t give me any return. But if it stays flat, the silver stocks would give me 50 or 60 percent so it was a better speculative outcome,’ Rule added.

What did he do with the rest of his gains from his physical silver investment? He parked 25 percent in physical gold. “That’s how I save. I maintain liquidity in US currency, and I save in gold,” said Rule.

The other 25 percent went into oil and gas stocks. “As you know, my motto is that I buy hate and I sell love. Silver was loved, so I sold it. Oil and gas were hated, so I bought it.”

Both Krauth and Barton are on board with Rick’s Rules for silver investment.

“(Rule) has had for a long time a significant position in physical silver, and has sold a good portion of that because he is looking for value all the time and not sitting still. And he decided that those proceeds were going to go to where he saw value,” said Krauth. “And that’s part of my thesis going forward as well — that the value, or the unrealized value, in the silver space is now, especially in the miners.”

Barton also sees value in this strategy. “I have been selling some physical silver, and I’ve been putting it into oil stocks, and I’ve been putting it into gold and silver miners because they have not played that catch-up trade, right?,” he said. “Spot gold and silver are relatively expensive compared to very good silver and very good gold miners. So that could be a place where you could take some profits and rotate into the next leg up.”

Securities Disclosure: I, Melissa Pistilli, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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